Denobion

Intelligence, decision support and coordinated action

Anticipate change. Coordinate action.

Denobion works with governments, international organisations, investors and businesses to improve livelihoods, build systemic resilience and reduce conflict. We collect and test evidence, build models and software, and run exercises that expose trade-offs across supply chains, security and critical infrastructure. Our work is international, drawing on local and specialist partners for each project or initiative we undertake.

Aerial view of the Tintaya open-pit copper mine in Peru, showing benched pit walls and a turquoise pit lake surrounded by waste rock and haul roads.
Tintaya, Peru. Photo Grullab / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0.

Our priorities

Supply chains, security and infrastructure: Interconnected systems with shared challenges

Climate change, strategic competition and industrial policy are reshaping the supply of minerals, food and energy. Decisions about production, infrastructure and trade are linked but often made separately. Denobion examines how each choice changes costs and dependencies, compares the options and helps organisations to coordinate their decisions.

01

Supply chains

02

Security

03

Critical infrastructure

Our work

What we produce

Each piece of work begins with a clear objective: to inform an investment decision, change a policy, prepare for disruption or coordinate action. That determines the intelligence we gather, the tools we use or build and the process we design. Depending on the task, we may produce a briefing, model or map, run a workshop or exercise, or combine several.

Actionable intelligence

Briefings, datasets and maps that put reliable intelligence into a form officials and executives immediately put to use.

Models and software

Software tools that help users compare choices, weigh costs and benefits, see where interests align and coordinate action with potential partners.

Scenarios and exercises

Exercises that test how several pressures could combine and prepare institutions to respond together.

Convening and training

Workshops and training that bring people with different interests and perspectives together, helping them anticipate change, prepare for disruption, confront difficult choices and coordinate action.

Current work

Mining Economic Linkages Simulator

Denobion is developing the Mining Economic Linkages Simulator with the Intergovernmental Forum on Mining (IGF) and Applied Resource Policy Lab (ARPL). The tool will help policymakers compare the effects of a mine, processing plant or refinery under different assumptions. It will cover familiar measures such as public revenue and jobs, alongside social and environmental costs and benefits — including climate risks — that conventional assessments often miss. The wider aim is to help producer countries capture more value from their minerals and convert it into resilient, equitable growth, showing when downstream processing supports that goal and when other choices may work better.

Intergovernmental Forum on Mining  ·  Applied Resource Policy Lab

Mockup of the MELS interface: a scenario panel on the left, a chart comparing economic output with and without domestic processing, and a table of indicators by year.
Interface design, in development.

Track record

Combining decades of international work

Before founding Denobion, Ben Bowie and Jack Denton led international work on minerals policy, climate risk, supply chains, biodiversity and land tenure. They worked together for over a decade at TMP, where they designed research programmes, software, workshops and scenario exercises for governments, foundations, international organisations, investors and companies, often with national and regional partners.

Who we are

Ben Bowie and Jack Denton

Ben Bowie

Co-founder and Director

Ben Bowie has led organisations and international programmes on climate, natural resources, development and security for more than 15 years. His work has shaped minerals policy and investment in eight countries, and he has directed projects in more than 25. He is an Associate Fellow at the Royal United Services Institute and a member of the Impact Value Standards Board.

Jack Denton

Co-founder and Director

Jack Denton has spent more than a decade researching and advising on critical minerals, supply chains, biodiversity, land tenure and social risk. He led the development of Landscope, a geospatial tool for assessing land-tenure risk that is used by investors and companies and distributed through the Bloomberg Terminal. He also designs and runs workshops and scenario exercises.

Contact

Reach out

Let us know if you are dealing with a challenge or a problem we might be able to help you with.